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Nifty Expiry day 5 Point

Note: I am not a SEBI registered advisor and sharing strategies for learning purpose only

Entry time: 9:18 AM

Instrument: Sell Nifty weekly CE and PE option which is trading at a price greater than or equal to 5 at 0918 AM

Stop-Loss: 4 points on both CE/PE leg

Exit: 1520

Slippage: 0.5%

Capital: 2,67,000



Back Testing

(Updated as of 31-Jul-26)

2026 2025 2024 2023 2022
15491,838947-9503
21,6681,280-7851,178734
31,143-2601,3051,193764
44931,908-75158846
5-374312,4031,847473
62803491,95021,080
71,0768666031111,349
801,401807-4351,206
901341389932,522
100241,94702,222
1101,404-96512,088
1201,8123527441,815
Total5,17211,1879,5836,43115,599
Capital2,67,0002,67,0002,67,0002,67,0002,67,000
Returns1.9%4.2%3.6%2.4%5.8%
MDD-1120-1225-1659-1069.5-600
RMDD4.69.15.8626


Overall Profit


82,968
Total trades 389
Avg Day Profit 213
Avg Monthly Profit 932 0.3%
Max Profit 1,680
Max Loss -613
Win% (Days) 84% 327
Loss% (Days) 16% 62
Avg Profit On Win Days 363
Avg Loss On Loss Days 576
Max Drawdown (MDD Recovery Period) -2,036 21
Current Drawdown 0
Return to MDD Ratio 5
Max Winning Streak 32
Max Losing Streak 3
Expectancy 0.37
Reward to Risk Ratio 0.63
Kelly Ratio 59%

Actual trade based profit/loss

(Started trading from 19-Sep-24
Stopped trading from 13-Dec-24
Re-started trading from 21-Aug-25)
2026 2025 2024
1 554 0 0
2 790 0 0
3 1129 0 0
4 469 0 0
5 -26 0 0
6 235 0 0
7 1,469 0 0
8 0 278 0
9 0 935 -346
10 0 697 422
11 0 1447 -43
12 0 2603 -216
Total 4,620  5,960 -183
Returns 4.8%6.1% -0.2%
MDD -579-723-617
RMDD 8 8.2 -0.3
Overall Profit 10,397
Total trades 60
Avg Day Profit 165
Avg Monthly Profit 650 0.2%
Max Profit 1,017
Max Loss -596
Win% (Days) 85% 51
Loss% (Days)     15% 9
Avg Profit On Win Days 277
Avg Loss On Loss Days -415
Max Drawdown (MDD Recovery Period) -723 21
Current Drawdown 0
Return to MDD Ratio 11
Max Winning Streak 32
Max Losing Streak 3
Expectancy 0.42
Reward to Risk Ratio 0.67
Kelly Ratio 63%






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